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No More 'Buy and Hold' – Try 'Buy and Monitor' for Better Investments

Ever wonder how some people consistently make more money in the stock market? It's not magic – it's a mix of paying attention and making smart choices. Let's explore the simple tricks these successful investors use to get better returns than the average. Listen to Insiders: What They Know Matters Successful investors keep an ear out for insider trading updates. Why? Because if someone inside a company is buying or selling their own company's stock, they might know something good or bad is coming. Buybacks & Rights Issues: Company Confidence and Cash In Smart investors like it when companies buy back their own shares or offer existing shareholders the chance to buy more at a discount. It's like the company saying, "Our stock is a good deal!" IPOs & Big Corporate Announcements: Ride the Wave of News Beyond new companies going public (IPOs), successful investors pay attention when companies make Corporate   big announcements. Events like demergers, me...

Learnings

Challenges in Making Money on the Stock Market: 96-97% of businesses are not worth investing in and are better suited for trading. Trading requires early entry and early exit, which goes against human behavior influenced by fear and emotions. Trading before the masses do is essential, but it is extremely difficult to achieve. Averaging down on losing positions may not be effective in trading. Only about 2-3% of businesses are worth investing in. Evaluating these businesses requires a focus on management intention and efficiency. Identifying ethical management can be challenging due to complex human emotions and greed. Patience is required in investing, which often goes against human nature. Disclaimer: The top 1% may achieve success through extreme passion and sacrificing their well-being. This level of dedication may not be suitable or sustainable for everyone. 

Opposites can be equally good

  Mark Minervini Pulak Prasad The process is driven by Price is everything (Bhav Bhagavan che) Business is everything (Benjamin Graham) When to buy Buy when Institutions are buying Buy when Nobody is buying Churning Buy fast sell fast Lazy, very Lazy When to sell Put stop loss to protect your capital Sell only if you find something wrong with business Decision making Based on charts only Based on fundamentals of business only What to buy Pick any stock based on the chart pattern. Avoid all the stocks which are not good business. Achievement Over a period of 5 years, a fund investment has yielded a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 225%, resulting in a return of 300 times the initial investment of 1 Rs. Over a span of 14 year...

Alpha

In the world of stock market investing, everyone aspires to achieve alpha—a measure of returns that surpasses the performance of the market index. While some might dismiss the significance of a few percentage points, alpha plays a pivotal role in long-term wealth generation. Consider this: a 12% return over a period of 20 years can transform an initial investment of 10 lakhs into 1.09 crores, whereas a 15% return can yield an astounding 1.97 crores . So, what are the key factors that contribute to generating alpha? Network : Establishing a strong investment community can be instrumental in generating alpha. Seasoned investors often rely on their networks to discuss stock ideas, share knowledge, and exchange valuable insights. Moreover, cultivating relationships with company management can provide a deeper understanding of the business, potentially leading to investment opportunities that others might overlook. Algorithmic Trading : Harnessing the power of machines through algorithmic t...

Overcoming Guilt in the Financial Market: Embracing Wise Decision-Making

Entering the financial market can be a rollercoaster ride of emotions, often accompanied by feelings of guilt. Numerous situations arise where investors experience remorse over past actions, such as selling a stock right before it surges or buying one that subsequently plummets. The root cause of this guilt is the limited knowledge available when making investment decisions, leading to regret when new information emerges. In this article, we explore strategies to overcome this guilt and foster a more mindful approach to financial decision-making. Define Clear Investment Goals: Before venturing into any investment, it is crucial to establish your objectives. Whether aiming to outperform a market index or beat the returns of fixed deposits, clarity about your financial goals will provide a guiding light amidst market fluctuations. Avoid chasing high-return schemes that may carry significant risks and focus on aligning your investments with your predetermined objectives. Avoid the B...

Celebrating One Year of Blogging: Reflecting on an Incredible Journey

Dear Readers, I am thrilled to share with you that today marks the completion of my first year as a blogger! It's hard to believe how quickly time has flown by, but I couldn't be more grateful for the experiences and growth this journey has brought me. When I started this blog a year ago, I had no idea what to expect. It was a leap of faith driven by my passion for writing and the desire to share my thoughts, experiences, and knowledge with the world. Little did I know that it would become such an enriching and fulfilling adventure. Over the past twelve months, I have poured my heart and soul into crafting meaningful and engaging content. I've explored a wide range of topics, from personal development and travel to technology and creativity. Each article has been a labor of love, meticulously researched and thoughtfully written to provide value and inspiration to all of you. But what truly makes this journey extraordinary is the incredible community that has formed around t...

Aravind Eye Hospital

One of the Harvard Business School alumni shared an inspiring case study on building a competitive strategy from Joan Magretta's book "Understanding Michael Porter: The Essential Guide to Competition and Strategy" on Aravind Eye Hospital. India’s Aravind Eye Hospital was founded in 1976 by an idealistic retired army surgeon, Govindappa Venkataswamy, known as Dr. V. Dr. V. didn’t need a detailed market segmentation map to identify a large population with a dramatically underserved need. Millions of Indians suffer from preventable blindness because they can’t afford cataract surgery. Starting with just eleven beds and three doctors, Aravind has become the world’s largest provider of eye care in the world, performing about 300,000 surgeries a year, at least two-thirds of them for free. Aravind has an extraordinary value proposition. Correction: it has two value propositions. One is aimed at affluent customers who want the best eye care money can buy. These customers wa...

Millionaires

There are numerous books available on personal finance and investing that claim to reveal the secrets of becoming a millionaire. However, despite this vast amount of information, only a small percentage of the world's population, approximately 3 million people, are actual millionaires, which is around 0.03% of the total population. While there is no surefire way to achieve millionaire status, there are three basic principles that can help increase the likelihood of accumulating wealth over time.  1. Generating multiple streams of income 2. Living within one's means, and  3. Making informed investment decisions.  By diversifying their sources of income, controlling expenses, and investing wisely, individuals can improve their chances of attaining financial success.

Game Theory

Looking at life as a game can be beneficial in avoiding feelings of depression or emotional distress. Game theory, a widely used concept in economics, can assist in making informed decisions when it comes to selecting the right people, places, and investments in one's life. There are four types of games that can be played with the government, competitors, emotions, or anyone else: NO. Player 1 Player 2 1 Win Win 2 Win Lose 3 Lose Win 4 Lose Lose   As Charlie Munger has said, what not to do is more important than what to do in life. Warren Buffett also says that "successful people say no to almost everything", especially when it comes to lose-lose situations. Wasting time on these types of games can be detrimental to one's materialistic life, such as investing in a business where the market is declining. Th...

Luck

Most of the time, success and failure are determined by chance. There are various types of luck. Few things are beyond our control. Few, however, are under our control. Focus more on the expansion of your luck. There are four types of major luck.  1. Blind luck  Where you born  Which city do you live in? How much wealth did your ancestors have? 2. Motion luck Where you travel What you read and what you watch Which universities do you go to? How big is your network? 3. Luck from awareness What you read and learn. You can see your future by understanding things. 4. Luck from Hobbies What you love to do without efforts Your passion for doing things. These things may not pay off immediately, but when the time comes, your passion will work its magic in your life. It is critical to be in the right place at the right time.  How to get Lucky

Top 3 reasons why making money from stocks is difficult

1. Linear thinking (Most of us want regular returns. But markets do not give returns every year. There are months or years when nothing happens) 2. Quick gratification (Temptation to 'book' your small profits and then later regret looking at the meteoric rise of good companies) 3. Believing stories (Our opinion often gets shaped by what we read or hear. Unfortunately, what we read or hear is often something that's been sold to us. It's crucial to separate stories from actionable information)

“Take up one idea. Make that one idea your life; dream of it; think of it; live on that idea"

A= P(1+R)^N Where, A= Total portfolio value P= Principal value R= Rate of return  N= No. of years This simple formula should be remembered.  Try to keep simple. P, R, and N all need to be alive P= JOB/ Business N= Health R= Productivity  FYI, N is exponential, Maths students can understand This😄

Cialdini’s Six Principles of Persuasion: Most used for marketing

There are two types of business growth. One is inorganic growth in which businesses grow with marketing tactics and sales influences. Second is organic growth in which businesses are growing without any marketing investments and business development strategies. But most of the businesses come into the inorganic category. The most popular and influential techniques used for persuasion are Social Proof, Liking, Commitment and consistency bias, Authority, Reciprocity, Scarcity, and Incentives. Social proof Humans are social by nature and generally feel that it’s essential to conform to the norms of a social group. This means that when it comes to decision-making, we often look around us to see what others are doing, before making our minds up. That's how our spending habits develop and people won't understand their buying power. Every product is designed for the specific pyramid of the world. For example "Starbucks is suitable for people who are spending only five percent of ...

12 equations by Kuntal shah for Investors

 Anything multiplied by 0 is 0. (relations, money, and health) Happiness = Achievement+ Aspirations/ Regret. (reduce regrets) Disappointment = expectations / reality. (Face reality) Kinetic energy = ½ mv^2 (rate of change is escalating, therefore your direction and velocity into that direction matters for success) Opportunity cost >>> sunk cost Destruction far swifter than contractions. (Rome was not built in a day but Hiroshima and Nagasaki were destroyed in a day.) EBITDA is not equal to cash flows. Role of luck ( luck = joy^2/ efforts ) Despair = suffering – equanimity 4th law of motion( return decrease when motion increases) Future value = present value ( 1+R )^N ( R=rate , N= No of years ) Gratitude+ Right attitude = Permanently high altitude 

"What I follow"

"Strategy for Equity Most important things  Independent mindset Accounting  Business economics  Psychology Financial market history Three baskets  1. Special situations. 2. Growth at reasonable valuations (Unable to pay more than 30-40 PE). 3. Cyclical stocks (Short period, 1-2 Years) – the balance sheet is good, but earnings are bad.  Screening criteria OPM < OPM 5Year AND  (OPM= Operating profit margins) Market Capitalization > 500 AND Debt to equity < 1 AND Price to Earning < 40 AND Promoter holding > 50 AND Capacity expansion  Valuations  Think only one thing:-  Will you get more returns from this script than FD / AAA-rated bond yield? If the answer is YES go invest, stay patient enough and focus on increasing your capital. Information overload Problem Shut Twitter, TV, and Social media, Telegram, YouTube Tips Bottom-up approach but sector Tailwind  Macro factors – Patience for 3-5 years stay invested. Risk manag...

Loss aversion

  People always tend to put their money in safe investment brackets like bank accounts, FDs, etc. They always feel safe with those investments. This phenomenon is called loss aversion. As per Investopedia, " Loss aversion in behavioral economics refers to a phenomenon where a real or potential loss is perceived by individuals as psychologically or emotionally more severe than an equivalent gain. For instance, the pain of losing $100 is often far greater than the joy gained in finding the same amount. Let me give one example of how this phenomenon works in real life. a man who wants to earn twice as much as an FD (roughly 10-12%) Put 1 lakh RS. in three stocks for the next two years. One stock doubled within two years and the other two have generated minus 20% returns over the next two years. Overall returns should be around 10% CAGR over 3 lakh RS. But the pain of two investments that don't provide any returns over two years is much more than two stocks that double within a sh...

Management Quality

  Having a little experience in investing journey I find out that one of the most important factors to find our stocks is the quality of management. this topic always raises the contentious issue of whether retail investors have the opportunity to talk to management and understand insider information. I consider what we have control over.let me share some insights which I had figured out in the last some years that how to find efficient management.                        First of all, I look for consistency which is the most important part of your business. look at things which management had done in their down period. having consistency over ten or more year in their cash generation and operation margins make their acumen to business. If consistency is not there look at what management had told in their investor presentation or AGM. After some period of time, all CEO & management become a salesman. they just want to s...

Chemcrux Enterprises

Rural areas offer a more favorable environment compared to metropolitan cities. During my second wave of COVID vacation, I had the opportunity to spend time in my hometown and I discovered that it was a source of great inspiration and ideas. Although I have always been intrigued by stock market books, most of the ones I came across were from Western countries. This led me to search for books specifically focused on the Indian stock market, and that's when I came across an incredible book titled "How to Avoid Loss and Earn Consistently in the Stock Market" by Prasenjit Paul. I read the entire book during my journey from my hometown to Ankleshwar and upon finishing it, I was deeply moved by his story. While I generally have an independent mindset when it comes to my investments, I find myself giving a second thought to stocks recommended by individuals like Prasenjit Paul. What type of company makes wealth for shareholders? About Chemcrux Enterprises is a Gujarat-based comp...

Having right education

 It is obvious that Indian parents spend more on their children's education than anywhere else. We cannot pass judgment on that, but the question is what is the proper education? Spending wisely or simply influenced by their neighbors? Tuition classes always make sales pitches based on their top students. I have many topper students in my friend's circles. I believe more than 60% of their success is due to their hard work.         First and foremost, there is the issue of having the proper education. As per basic Indian education, I always found that memory is the test of our marks. Almost all school exams test students' memory. Topper is always full of memories. Nobody teaches how to use that memory. Having little experience in the corporate sector, because of Google, you play very little role in contributing to your business. As per our degree certification, memory is our intelligence. In my view, intelligence is the right use of memory. Intelligenc...

What makes every human different?

My sister always behaves completely differently than me. I am always shocked at why she behaves differently. We have both been staying together since she was born. Mostly, whatever I eat and drink is the same as hers, and we even studied in the same school. But I discovered many differences between myself and her .  when I met one of the twins' sisters. I am curious and want to ask some questions about this. Are they the same? Are they the same in all circumstances? I got an answer of no. Why do people change their behavior? Why do people change over a period of time? Why do relationships change over a period of time? I had always listened that she/he changed now.  I found all these answers in the book of peter bevelin seeking wisdom: From Darwin to Munger,         The brain changes continually as a result of our experiences. Experiences produce physical changes in the brain either through new neural connections or through the generation of new neurons...